Welcome to Cancer-Forums.net!   

Advertisments:



Useful Links:

American Cancer Society
National Cancer Institute
Cancer Definition

How Would You Calculate The Probability Of Being Diagnosed With Lung Cancer?

Discuss Colorectal cancers

How Would You Calculate The Probability Of Being Diagnosed With Lung Cancer?

Postby Adnot » Tue Jul 01, 2014 7:35 am

I am doing a project in school to find the probability of a person being diagnosed with either lung cancer, colon cancer, or breast cancer based on their age but I'm having some problems with the math portion of it. After finding the probability of being diagnosed with lung cancer from the age 30-40 and all the other age groups, is there a way to write an equation for the entire thing? Like if you plug in your age you can find the probability? Also I need to lengthen how much I have of this project so far so if you have any ideas of how to add more math related things (e.g. finding the standard deviation) that would be great.
Adnot
 
Posts: 67
Joined: Sat Jan 04, 2014 3:47 pm

How Would You Calculate The Probability Of Being Diagnosed With Lung Cancer?

Postby Eldrian » Tue Jul 01, 2014 8:43 am

It depends on what other factors you want to consider.
If the only thing you consider is age, you simply need to know how many people are alive in a given age range and how many people in this age range have been diagnosed.

You will probably find that other factors such as whether they smoke or not, whether they live in an area with lots of air pollution and/or water pollution, what their diet is, what chemicals they are exposed to at work, etc have very strong influences on likelihood of cancer diagnoses.
Eldrian
 
Posts: 47
Joined: Thu Feb 20, 2014 2:20 pm

How Would You Calculate The Probability Of Being Diagnosed With Lung Cancer?

Postby Adriyel » Tue Jul 01, 2014 2:52 pm

AGE is not the only factor.
Cancer, especially lung cancer, is an ENVIRONMENTAL issue.
Smoking is an obvious issues, but so is your employment and your personal lifestyle and habits.
There would be NO WAY to calculate probabilities based on AGE ALONE.

[On the other hand, Prostate Cancer in men is almost entirely age related.
Almost ALL men, nearly 100%, have some manner of prostate cancer by the age of 70.
But, prostate cancer usually take a long time to develop, so if you find Prostate Cancer at THAT age, it is not really worth worrying about.
"Old Age" will likely kill you first! But it is STILL worth checking, even at age 40, to make sure that YOU are not one of the very few who get Prostate Cancer Early, in their 40's, and face death before age 60.
Prostate Caner is highly treatable when caught early.]

This is why doctors take a complete and [hopefully] honest Medical History for each patient.
For proper diagnosis of ANY problem, MUCH more than age must be know about the patient, including their job, their hobbies, the family history of disease, and so on.

You can EASILY look up such things as Standard Deviation on the internet, and Microsoft Excel has functions to do those things for you automatically.
Adriyel
 
Posts: 49
Joined: Sun Feb 09, 2014 2:10 am


Return to Colon Cancer

 


  • Related topics
    Replies
    Views
    Last post